by Brad Salzberg

CAP

January 17, 2022

A recent Angus Reid poll informs us that “one-in-three Canadians strongly disapprove of Trudeau, while only 6 per cent strongly approve of him. The Liberal Party runs ahead of him.”

And they are going to keep on running– more than likely forever. Thus revealed is an ill-considered element of federal politics. Justin Trudeau could stay or go. Political pundits speak of the fact that no prime minister has ever served four consecutive terms.

They don’t speak of the fact that no PM in history has ever done what Trudeau has done. As a politician, he is unprecedented — starting with his elevation of non-Canadians above and beyond the Canadian-born.

The Liberals will not lose the next election. If Trudeau does run, he will win. If a new party leader is appointed, they will win.

Consider a hypothetical: Conservative Erin O’Toole runs against Trudeau. Victory, Liberal Party. The Liberals vote in a new leader, and they select a female. The lady runs against O’Toole. She wins.

The Liberals transition their leader to a female. The Conservatives do the same. In an “apples to apples” scenario, the Liberal Party win. In fact, the male to female transition is all but guaranteed– at least on the part of the Liberals.

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